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Red68
173632.5
12889.3
615712.4
Blue75
51768.6
178127.2
425626.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3863020801001201406875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.4
21.222.6
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End3.1
red by 5.3
27.21.3
23.524.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End6.7
Second
6157
#25
12.42.4
10.212.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 14.4
4256
#11
26.81.4
23.124.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
Third
1288
#28
9.32.4
7.49.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.6
red by 0.7
5176
#37
8.62.1
9.411.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned