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Red18
132910.3
144415.5
46007.5
Blue12
27076.6
29788.6
50608.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273602060801001812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.9
11.110.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End7.1
red by 6.9
2978
#12
8.62.3
9.77.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Second
1329
#22
10.30.9
7.26.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 2.3
5060
#29
8.02.3
14.712.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.1
Third
4600
#27
7.50.9
8.27.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.6
red by 0.9
2707
#21
6.62.3
8.25.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed