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Red28
55837.8
450023.2
43305.2
Blue50
674413.6
639118.3
71177.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060801002850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#10
23.20.6
21.721.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 4.8
6391
#14
18.31.1
11.212.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Second
5583
#20
7.81.0
8.57.5
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End2.5
blue by 5.7
6744
#18
13.61.8
8.610.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
4330
#36
5.21.0
6.85.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.3
blue by 1.9
7117
#31
7.11.8
14.115.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed