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Red66
175650.6
807710.1
27076.6
Blue65
450023.2
33977.9
425626.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61573040507080906665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.1
44.244.2
Auto12.6
Teleop30.2
End7.8
red by 23.7
4256
#11
26.80.7
24.525.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
Second
8077
#16
10.10.1
6.97.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End5.0
blue by 13.1
4500
#10
23.20.7
21.121.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Third
2707
#21
6.60.1
5.96.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.1
End1.8
blue by 1.3
3397
#30
7.91.2
8.79.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed