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Red4
49318.7
42324.2
9318.0
Blue94
248146.8
178127.2
50608.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248104060100120140494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4931
#26
8.73.3
10.37.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 38.0
46.81.9
37.038.8
Auto10.1
Teleop25.5
End11.1
Second
931
#23
8.03.3
10.27.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End1.6
blue by 19.2
27.21.9
23.525.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End6.7
Third
4232
#35
4.23.3
9.05.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 3.8
5060
#29
8.02.8
8.211.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned