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Red46
615712.4
87194.9
432930.4
Blue41
379225.1
24087.8
43305.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364301001504641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.7
17.518.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 5.3
3792
#13
25.10.2
22.222.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.1
End10.9
Second
6157
#25
12.41.2
9.410.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 4.6
2408
#34
7.80.3
8.07.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Third
8719
#32
4.94.5
4.99.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 0.3
4330
#36
5.20.3
9.69.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed