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Qual 312022 St. Louis Regional
Red42
42324.2
51768.6
432930.4
Blue71
450023.2
49318.7
418715.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801004271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#8
30.40.6
22.5→23.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 7.2
4500
#10
23.20.7
22.8→23.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Second
5176
#37
8.60.9
10.2→11.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 7.2
4187
#5
15.80.7
13.9→14.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End6.1
Third
4232
#35
4.20.9
1.0→1.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 4.5
4931
#26
8.71.1
12.0→13.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed