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Red26
71177.1
43305.2
117815.2
Blue28
806912.6
425626.8
87194.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32460204060802628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#19
15.21.6
14.512.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.0
blue by 11.6
4256
#11
26.80.9
25.224.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
Second
7117
#31
7.11.6
12.210.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 5.5
8069
#15
12.61.5
11.09.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Third
4330
#36
5.21.6
5.53.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.3
red by 0.3
8719
#32
4.91.5
5.23.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsMissed