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Red32
77475.0
450023.2
51768.6
Blue48
178127.2
46007.5
71177.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48520204060801003248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#10
23.20.9
24.023.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End4.7
blue by 4.0
27.20.8
27.726.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End6.7
Second
5176
#37
8.61.5
11.410.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
red by 1.1
4600
#27
7.51.4
10.38.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.6
Third
7747
#33
5.01.5
9.88.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 2.1
7117
#31
7.11.4
10.69.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed