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Red79
639118.3
43305.2
414336.5
Blue27
132910.3
12889.3
49318.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801007927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.51.3
32.734.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.1
End11.6
red by 26.2
1329
#22
10.31.4
10.08.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Second
6391
#14
18.31.3
14.916.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 9.1
1288
#28
9.31.4
11.710.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Third
4330
#36
5.22.2
3.96.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.3
blue by 3.5
4931
#26
8.71.4
10.28.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed