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Red74
807710.1
248146.8
29788.6
Blue64
747213.0
432930.4
674413.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6847204060801001207464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.6
42.342.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.5
End11.1
red by 16.4
30.41.1
25.126.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
8077
#16
10.11.0
10.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End5.0
blue by 3.5
6744
#18
13.61.9
12.414.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
2978
#12
8.61.0
8.79.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 4.5
7472
#17
13.01.9
9.711.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed