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Red65
33977.9
639118.3
432930.4
Blue15
77475.0
71177.1
418715.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801006515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.9
27.728.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 14.6
15.81.1
18.217.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End6.1
Second
6391
#14
18.30.9
17.017.9
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 11.3
7117
#31
7.11.5
7.66.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
3397
#30
7.91.2
6.88.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.4
red by 2.9
7747
#33
5.01.7
6.44.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed