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Red29
117815.2
29788.6
42324.2
Blue28
46007.5
806912.6
33977.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333253035402928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#19
15.20.5
16.415.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.0
red by 2.6
8069
#15
12.60.6
13.713.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Second
2978
#12
8.60.5
9.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
red by 0.6
3397
#30
7.90.6
8.07.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.4
Third
4232
#35
4.20.5
5.34.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 3.2
4600
#27
7.50.6
9.18.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed