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Red48
178127.2
639118.3
74964.5
Blue139
425626.8
432930.4
248146.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45113020608010014016048139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.2
27.827.6
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End6.7
blue by 19.6
46.82.5
44.046.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.5
End11.1
Second
6391
#14
18.30.2
17.917.7
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 12.1
30.42.5
28.631.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Third
7496
#24
4.50.2
5.25.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 22.3
4256
#11
26.82.5
25.127.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsEarned