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Red107
259042.4
589551.6
192328.9
Blue104
34138.1
253936.1
191432.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361096080100120160180107104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.6
52.051.4
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 13.5
341
#5
38.10.1
37.837.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.2
End10.9
Second
42.40.6
42.742.2
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
red by 6.3
36.10.1
35.735.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End12.7
Third
1923
#42
28.90.6
29.228.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 3.7
1914
#16
32.60.1
32.332.2
Auto9.8
Teleop14.9
End7.9