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Red139
259042.4
589551.6
192328.9
Blue126
34138.1
253936.1
191432.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410980100120140160180139126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.2
51.451.6
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 13.5
341
#5
38.10.5
37.638.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.2
End10.9
Second
42.40.2
42.242.4
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
red by 6.3
36.10.5
35.636.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End12.7
Third
1923
#42
28.90.2
28.728.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 3.7
1914
#16
32.60.5
32.232.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.9
End7.9