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Red70
257721.3
704527.3
139129.9
Blue53
260731.9
43317.2
48620.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7763401001207053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
29.90.0
32.332.2
Auto10.9
Teleop8.8
End10.3
blue by 1.9
2607
#28
31.90.5
27.527.0
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End5.3
Second
7045
#36
27.30.0
21.721.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End13.8
red by 6.9
486
#43
20.40.5
15.314.8
Auto7.3
Teleop5.6
End7.5
Third
2577
#31
21.30.0
16.516.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 4.1
433
#55
17.20.5
17.817.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsMissed