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Red90
2526.8
48431.2
549014.0
Blue92
434234.1
36529.6
10220.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658540601001209092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#27
31.21.2
27.128.3
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End6.3
blue by 2.9
4342
#11
34.10.7
30.731.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
25
#32
26.81.2
24.325.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End9.0
blue by 2.8
365
#7
29.60.7
28.229.0
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
5490
#56
14.01.2
12.313.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
blue by 6.4
102
#30
20.50.7
18.018.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned