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Red58
29317.0
116822.5
331429.0
Blue86
465318.7
121827.5
363721.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66665560707580855886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#26
29.00.6
28.728.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End11.0
red by 1.5
1218
#13
27.51.6
28.430.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.8
End10.2
Second
1168
#33
22.50.6
17.516.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End4.0
red by 1.3
3637
#35
21.21.6
17.018.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Third
293
#58
17.00.6
16.115.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 1.7
4653
#51
18.71.6
16.418.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned