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Red50
181113.8
83427.9
43317.2
Blue75
36529.6
249523.5
573224.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608420401001201405075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#47
27.90.6
27.226.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End7.6
blue by 1.7
365
#7
29.60.6
29.729.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Second
433
#55
17.20.6
17.416.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End6.6
blue by 7.0
5732
#46
24.30.6
23.022.4
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Third
1811
#50
13.80.6
15.114.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.2
blue by 9.6
2495
#17
23.50.6
22.822.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed