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Red70
191432.6
10333.6
162626.6
Blue99
314234.9
180740.7
140326.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92100204060801201401607099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#19
33.61.4
30.529.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End10.4
blue by 7.1
40.70.4
38.739.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End11.7
Second
1914
#16
32.61.4
31.430.0
Auto9.8
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 2.3
34.90.4
29.029.5
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End8.8
Third
1626
#53
26.61.4
25.424.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.7
blue by 0.2
1403
#15
26.70.4
24.925.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned