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Red125
34138.1
192328.9
314234.9
Blue94
465318.7
259042.4
20324.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10487608012014016012594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#5
38.11.5
36.337.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.2
End10.9
blue by 4.3
42.40.7
41.342.0
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
Second
34.91.5
29.030.4
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End8.8
red by 10.6
203
#41
24.30.7
23.824.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End8.4
Third
1923
#42
28.91.5
29.831.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
red by 10.2
4653
#51
18.70.7
18.619.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned