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Red60
573224.3
108933.1
711023.6
Blue106
167630.6
70825.9
36529.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7883406010012014060106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#10
33.10.9
28.928.0
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.6
red by 2.5
1676
#24
30.61.6
29.030.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Second
5732
#46
24.30.9
22.421.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 5.3
365
#7
29.61.6
28.730.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
7110
#23
23.60.9
22.221.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End5.6
blue by 2.3
708
#22
25.91.6
19.621.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned