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Red96
48431.2
139129.9
10333.6
Blue101
29317.0
4137.1
181113.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10463408012014016096101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#19
33.60.3
29.129.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End10.4
blue by 3.5
41
#20
37.11.6
35.136.8
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.5
Second
484
#27
31.20.3
31.832.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End6.3
red by 14.2
293
#58
17.01.6
15.717.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End3.5
Third
1391
#12
29.90.3
31.331.5
Auto10.9
Teleop8.8
End10.3
red by 16.1
1811
#50
13.81.6
13.515.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned