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Red85
167211.7
363721.2
589551.6
Blue97
253936.1
249523.5
164035.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871034060801201401608597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.4
53.052.6
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 15.6
36.10.1
35.235.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End12.7
Second
3637
#35
21.20.4
16.215.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End8.8
blue by 14.2
35.40.1
36.236.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Third
1672
#59
11.70.4
14.113.7
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End5.2
blue by 11.8
2495
#17
23.50.1
22.922.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned