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Red67
43317.2
573224.3
5621.7
Blue93
140326.7
260731.9
465318.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65772040601001206793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5732
#46
24.30.1
21.521.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 7.6
2607
#28
31.91.5
27.028.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End5.3
Second
56
#18
21.70.1
23.423.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.4
blue by 5.1
1403
#15
26.71.5
24.425.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End9.5
Third
433
#55
17.20.1
17.317.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End6.6
blue by 1.5
4653
#51
18.71.5
19.320.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned