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Red108
437331.5
139129.9
162626.6
Blue88
434234.1
331429.0
22323.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93925015020010888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#21
31.51.1
28.729.8
Auto7.2
Teleop16.6
End7.8
blue by 2.6
4342
#11
34.10.4
33.232.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
1391
#12
29.91.1
31.532.6
Auto10.9
Teleop8.8
End10.3
red by 0.9
3314
#26
29.00.4
29.228.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End11.0
Third
1626
#53
26.61.1
27.328.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.7
red by 3.2
223
#49
23.40.4
23.923.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned