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Red107
70825.9
191432.6
181113.8
Blue81
192328.9
2526.8
632715.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7079406010012010781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1914
#16
32.61.4
29.030.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 3.7
1923
#42
28.90.3
32.732.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
Second
708
#22
25.91.4
21.823.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End8.6
blue by 0.9
25
#32
26.80.3
24.524.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Third
1811
#50
13.81.4
15.817.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.2
blue by 1.3
6327
#60
15.10.3
15.716.0
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsMissed