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Red66
48431.2
29317.0
164711.1
Blue63
549014.0
27229.3
851313.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62512040801006663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#27
31.20.2
32.031.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End6.3
red by 1.9
272
#39
29.30.4
26.727.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.2
End6.1
Second
293
#58
17.00.2
17.617.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.6
End3.5
red by 3.0
5490
#56
14.00.4
11.612.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
1647
#52
11.10.2
6.96.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 2.0
8513
#48
13.10.4
10.811.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed