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Red116
259042.4
589551.6
192328.9
Blue127
108933.1
31637.6
167630.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136103406080120160180116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.3
51.951.6
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 14.1
316
#4
37.60.3
37.537.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End13.5
Second
42.40.3
42.642.4
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
red by 9.2
1089
#10
33.10.3
33.033.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Third
1923
#42
28.90.3
29.128.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 1.8
1676
#24
30.60.3
30.630.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4