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Red143
259042.4
589551.6
192328.9
Blue99
108933.1
31637.6
167630.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351055015020014399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.4
51.652.0
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 14.1
316
#4
37.60.2
37.837.6
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End13.5
Second
42.40.4
42.442.7
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
red by 9.2
1089
#10
33.10.2
33.433.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Third
1923
#42
28.90.4
28.929.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 1.8
1676
#24
30.60.2
30.930.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4