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Red34
59597.5
683210.1
87418.6
Blue35
66065.0
393312.5
669412.9
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221051015253035403435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.11.5
6.47.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End6.6
blue by 2.8
12.91.2
9.410.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.9
Second
8741
#32
8.61.5
8.19.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End3.0
blue by 3.9
3933
#10
12.51.2
8.09.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.0
Third
5959
#11
7.51.5
6.27.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.8
End3.2
red by 2.5
6606
#27
5.01.2
2.73.9
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed