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Red18
335410.6
47318.0
77255.7
Blue8
47824.6
51334.3
37944.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312020304050188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.60.2
8.27.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 5.8
3794
#21
4.80.5
2.01.5
Auto0.8
Teleop1.7
End2.3
Second
8.00.2
6.66.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 3.4
4782
#35
4.60.5
6.15.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Third
7725
#14
5.70.2
5.35.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.6
End2.5
red by 1.4
5133
#28
4.30.5
4.64.1
Auto0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed