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Red65
40109.1
463539.7
335410.6
Blue11
669412.9
37944.8
56964.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551904060801006511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.6
30.732.3
Auto8.4
Teleop20.2
End11.0
red by 26.8
12.91.6
12.410.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.9
Second
10.61.6
9.210.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 5.8
3794
#21
4.81.7
4.93.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.7
End2.3
Third
4010
#19
9.11.6
7.08.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End3.2
red by 4.4
5696
#36
4.71.7
5.03.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed