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Red18
60170.7
77255.7
683210.1
Blue12
59597.5
59324.5
82442.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191701030401812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.10.0
9.49.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End6.6
red by 2.6
5959
#11
7.51.3
7.05.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.8
End3.2
Second
7725
#14
5.70.0
6.86.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.6
End2.5
red by 1.2
5932
#16
4.51.3
4.93.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
Third
6017
#31
0.70.0
1.61.6
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.1
blue by 1.3
8244
#40
2.01.3
4.02.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed