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Red0
59597.5
8776-1.1
61064.7
Blue53
347823.2
742120.5
335410.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2436010203050607080053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#11
7.52.7
7.75.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.8
End3.2
blue by 15.7
23.22.3
14.416.7
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End5.4
Second
6106
#39
4.72.7
8.35.6
Auto2.6
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 15.8
20.52.3
9.011.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Third
8776
#30
-1.16.6
-1.15.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.2
blue by 11.7
10.62.3
9.211.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned