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Red8
617010.0
87344.1
58876.4
Blue21
59324.5
40109.1
51334.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2729010204050607080821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#13
10.02.0
9.27.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
red by 1.0
4010
#19
9.11.6
10.69.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End3.2
Second
5887
#38
6.42.0
8.46.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
red by 1.9
5932
#16
4.51.6
8.46.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
Third
8734
#34
4.12.0
4.16.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.2
blue by 0.2
5133
#28
4.31.6
8.06.4
Auto0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed