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Red35
61064.7
477510.9
617010.0
Blue61
47318.0
35106.6
634820.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202901040506070803561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#18
10.91.0
9.510.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End4.0
blue by 9.2
20.21.8
15.617.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Second
6170
#13
10.01.0
7.78.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
red by 2.1
8.01.8
5.97.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
6106
#39
4.71.0
3.14.2
Auto2.6
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 1.9
3510
#23
6.61.8
5.06.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed