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Red2
47824.6
43716.0
34724.7
Blue76
58876.4
463539.7
669412.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155704080100276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4371
#17
6.01.6
7.66.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End0.9
blue by 33.7
39.72.1
35.437.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.2
End11.0
Second
3472
#25
4.71.6
6.34.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 8.1
12.92.1
10.212.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.9
Third
4782
#35
4.61.6
5.84.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.8
blue by 1.9
5887
#38
6.42.1
2.54.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned