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Red100
347832.0
463544.2
47757.3
Blue47
440019.8
440313.4
68966.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions973002040608012014016010047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.4
43.744.1
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End11.1
red by 24.4
4400
#12
19.80.2
18.819.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Second
32.00.4
31.632.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End6.8
red by 18.6
13.40.2
12.512.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
4775
#36
7.30.4
6.97.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 0.8
6896
#33
6.50.3
5.45.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End0.3