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Red93
347832.0
463544.2
47757.3
Blue68
440019.8
440313.4
68966.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98310204060801201401609368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.0
44.144.2
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End11.1
red by 24.4
4400
#12
19.80.7
19.119.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Second
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End6.8
red by 18.6
13.40.7
12.713.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
4775
#36
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 0.8
6896
#33
6.50.8
5.76.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End0.3