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Red19
473514.1
70406.0
35266.2
Blue30
440019.8
82914.0
46033.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233201040506070801930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.10.9
10.29.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End5.5
blue by 5.6
4400
#12
19.80.2
14.314.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Second
3526
#23
6.20.9
7.66.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End2.6
red by 2.2
8291
#21
4.00.3
5.55.1
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.6
Third
6.00.9
5.24.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.9
End1.8
red by 2.2
4603
#38
3.80.3
9.18.8
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed