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Red36
435513.8
66054.5
55268.9
Blue13
71619.5
31586.6
76539.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27281520253035403613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#11
13.81.2
9.210.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End5.7
red by 4.1
7653
#17
9.71.4
6.95.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Second
5526
#29
8.91.2
11.512.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 0.6
7161
#24
9.51.4
10.08.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Third
6605
#25
4.51.2
4.86.0
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
blue by 2.2
3158
#19
6.61.4
9.17.7
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed