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Red6
44019.5
66054.5
47757.3
Blue14
53124.3
70375.0
463544.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24680406080100120614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#18
9.52.5
10.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 34.7
44.23.6
39.736.0
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End11.1
Second
4775
#36
7.31.8
10.99.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 2.3
7037
#15
5.04.9
8.13.1
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.9
End3.5
Third
6605
#25
4.52.5
7.34.8
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
red by 0.1
5312
#34
4.34.9
10.75.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed