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Red12
82661.3
82914.0
61995.3
Blue6
58742.8
35276.6
66063.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26230406080100120126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6199
#32
5.32.7
7.95.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 1.3
3527
#26
6.61.8
8.56.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Second
8291
#21
4.01.4
4.05.5
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.6
red by 0.1
6606
#30
3.91.3
5.03.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Third
8266
#37
1.34.1
1.35.5
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.7
blue by 1.4
5874
#39
2.81.8
8.46.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed