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Red2
68966.5
71619.5
46033.8
Blue6
35276.6
35266.2
47757.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25230103040506026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7161
#24
9.52.4
8.56.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
red by 2.1
4775
#36
7.31.0
7.76.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Second
6896
#33
6.52.4
5.93.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 0.1
3527
#26
6.61.7
7.15.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Third
4603
#38
3.82.4
8.86.4
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End1.3
blue by 2.4
3526
#23
6.21.7
6.75.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed