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Red21
55268.9
44019.5
76874.3
Blue34
82661.3
757715.4
70406.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251701020304050602134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#18
9.51.5
5.43.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 5.9
15.41.0
9.110.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End5.8
Second
5526
#29
8.91.5
13.311.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End1.2
red by 2.9
6.01.0
4.95.9
Auto3.3
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Third
7687
#16
4.31.5
4.12.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.7
End2.3
red by 3.0
8266
#37
1.31.0
3.14.1
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned