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Red40
810510.4
87486.4
757715.4
Blue2
68966.5
82661.3
44019.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261002030405060402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.41.5
10.111.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End5.8
red by 5.9
4401
#18
9.51.1
3.92.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Second
10.41.5
5.87.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.1
red by 3.9
6896
#33
6.51.1
3.82.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Third
8748
#28
6.41.5
6.58.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End1.3
red by 5.0
8266
#37
1.31.1
4.13.0
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed