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Red25
71026.1
620010.0
57058.7
Blue10
61995.3
35266.2
46033.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25150102030405060702510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#13
10.00.6
9.08.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.5
red by 3.8
3526
#23
6.20.6
4.84.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End2.6
Second
8.70.6
6.86.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 3.4
6199
#32
5.30.6
5.65.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Third
7102
#14
6.10.6
6.66.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End3.0
red by 2.3
4603
#38
3.80.6
4.94.3
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed