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Red70
572723.7
264216.7
345911.9
Blue34
319615.2
693214.8
58715.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53460204060801001207034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.5
22.523.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
red by 8.0
587
#19
15.80.2
15.315.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End7.6
Second
16.70.5
15.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End6.5
red by 1.5
3196
#17
15.20.2
14.814.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End6.2
Third
3459
#25
11.90.5
10.711.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.8
blue by 2.9
6932
#13
14.80.2
14.314.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End2.9